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Rollout

Posted By: Ian Dunstan
Date: Tuesday, 16 September 2014, at 12:27 p.m.

In Response To: 32S-51S-66-d (Ian Dunstan)





White is Player 2

score: 2
pip: 161
3 point match
pip: 162
score: 2

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aa---E-C--AdD---d-e-A--A-:0:0:1:66:2:2:0:3:10
Blue to play 66

1.Rollout124/18 21/15 13/7(2)eq: +0.171
Player:
Opponent:
58.53% (G:18.85% B:2.66%)
41.47% (G:12.83% B:1.57%)
Conf.: 0.004 (+0.167...+0.174) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 51 minutes
2.Rollout121/9 13/7(2)eq: +0.156 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:
57.79% (G:20.10% B:2.32%)
42.21% (G:11.53% B:1.38%)
Conf.: 0.004 (+0.152...+0.160) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 47 minutes
3.Rollout221/9 8/2*(2) eq: +0.118 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:
55.91% (G:23.87% B:4.10%)
44.09% (G:11.32% B:1.15%)
Conf.: 0.007 (+0.111...+0.125) - [0.0%]
Duration: 23 minutes 40 seconds
4.Rollout213/7(2) 8/2*(2) eq: +0.113 (-0.058)
Player:
Opponent:
55.64% (G:26.99% B:4.17%)
44.36% (G:11.41% B:2.08%)
Conf.: 0.007 (+0.105...+0.120) - [0.0%]
Duration: 23 minutes 20 seconds
5.Rollout313/1*(2) eq: +0.104 (-0.067)
Player:
Opponent:
55.18% (G:23.35% B:0.71%)
44.82% (G:11.45% B:0.58%)
Conf.: 0.004 (+0.099...+0.108) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 10 seconds
6.Rollout313/1* 8/2*(2) eq: +0.102 (-0.069)
Player:
Opponent:
55.09% (G:25.70% B:0.53%)
44.91% (G:12.48% B:0.76%)
Conf.: 0.004 (+0.098...+0.106) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 01 second
7.Rollout321/15 13/7(2) 11/5eq: +0.100 (-0.071)
Player:
Opponent:
54.99% (G:16.76% B:0.91%)
45.01% (G:13.04% B:0.68%)
Conf.: 0.004 (+0.096...+0.104) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 20 seconds
8.Rollout313/7(4)eq: +0.093 (-0.078)
Player:
Opponent:
54.64% (G:19.13% B:1.29%)
45.36% (G:10.86% B:0.49%)
Conf.: 0.005 (+0.088...+0.098) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 17 seconds
1 2952 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 91660883
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Search interval: Huge

2 684 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 91660883
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Search interval: Huge

3 Truncated at 11 moves using XG Roller.
216 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 91660883
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply Red

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

I seriously considered the second best play, but not the first. I saw that 21/9 7/2(2) gets Blue hit quite a lot in our outfield and looked for something better. I rejected a lot of bad plays, however I played 13/7(4) which is pretty horrible since it gives up the mid unnecessarily

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