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Rollout

Posted By: Ian Dunstan
Date: Tuesday, 16 September 2014, at 12:27 p.m.

In Response To: 32S-51S-66-d (Ian Dunstan)

		White is Player 2 score: 2 pip: 161 3 point match pip: 162 score: 2 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aa---E-C--AdD---d-e-A--A-:0:0:1:66:2:2:0:3:10
Blue to play 66

1.	Rollout1	24/18 21/15 13/7(2)	eq: +0.171
	Player: Opponent: 58.53% (G:18.85% B:2.66%) 41.47% (G:12.83% B:1.57%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.167...+0.174) - [100.0%] Duration: 1 hour 51 minutes
2.	Rollout1	21/9 13/7(2)	eq: +0.156 (-0.015)
	Player: Opponent: 57.79% (G:20.10% B:2.32%) 42.21% (G:11.53% B:1.38%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.152...+0.160) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 47 minutes
3.	Rollout2	21/9 8/2*(2)	eq: +0.118 (-0.052)
	Player: Opponent: 55.91% (G:23.87% B:4.10%) 44.09% (G:11.32% B:1.15%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.111...+0.125) - [0.0%] Duration: 23 minutes 40 seconds
4.	Rollout2	13/7(2) 8/2*(2)	eq: +0.113 (-0.058)
	Player: Opponent: 55.64% (G:26.99% B:4.17%) 44.36% (G:11.41% B:2.08%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.105...+0.120) - [0.0%] Duration: 23 minutes 20 seconds
5.	Rollout3	13/1*(2)	eq: +0.104 (-0.067)
	Player: Opponent: 55.18% (G:23.35% B:0.71%) 44.82% (G:11.45% B:0.58%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.099...+0.108) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 10 seconds
6.	Rollout3	13/1* 8/2*(2)	eq: +0.102 (-0.069)
	Player: Opponent: 55.09% (G:25.70% B:0.53%) 44.91% (G:12.48% B:0.76%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.098...+0.106) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 01 second
7.	Rollout3	21/15 13/7(2) 11/5	eq: +0.100 (-0.071)
	Player: Opponent: 54.99% (G:16.76% B:0.91%) 45.01% (G:13.04% B:0.68%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.096...+0.104) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 20 seconds
8.	Rollout3	13/7(4)	eq: +0.093 (-0.078)
	Player: Opponent: 54.64% (G:19.13% B:1.29%) 45.36% (G:10.86% B:0.49%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.088...+0.098) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 17 seconds
1 2952 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 91660883 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller Search interval: Huge 2 684 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 91660883 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller Search interval: Huge 3 Truncated at 11 moves using XG Roller. 216 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 91660883 Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply Red

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

I seriously considered the second best play, but not the first. I saw that 21/9 7/2(2) gets Blue hit quite a lot in our outfield and looked for something better. I rejected a lot of bad plays, however I played 13/7(4) which is pretty horrible since it gives up the mid unnecessarily

Messages In This Thread

• 32S-51S-66-d
  Ian Dunstan -- Monday, 15 September 2014, at 9:45 a.m.
  • 32S-51S-66-d
    David Rennie -- Monday, 15 September 2014, at 2:19 p.m.
  • 32S-51S-66-d
    Timothy Chow -- Monday, 15 September 2014, at 5:17 p.m.
    • 32S-51S-66-d
      Barry Murphy -- Monday, 15 September 2014, at 9:42 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Ian Dunstan -- Tuesday, 16 September 2014, at 12:27 p.m.