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52S-C.–2–2 41K Rollout Without Opening Book

Posted By: Dmitriy Obukhov
Date: Tuesday, 16 September 2014, at 9:34 p.m.

In Response To: What is XG Thinking here? (Dmitriy Obukhov)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 160
2 point match
pip: 167
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-a--E-C---dE---d-e----B-:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:2:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 50.001% (G:15.685% B:1.548%) 49.987% (G:15.665% B:1.549%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 49.999% (G:16.548% B:1.949%) 50.013% (G:16.538% B:1.942%)
Cubeless Equities -0.0157 -0.0007
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.0001±0.0027 (-0.0026..+0.0028)
Double/Take:-0.0007 (-0.0008)±0.0027 (-0.0034..+0.0020)
Double/Pass:+1.0000 (+0.9999)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 0.1%
Rollout details
41472 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 90330709
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:66.3%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 8 hours 35 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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