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A relevant RO

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Friday, 19 September 2014, at 4:30 p.m.

In Response To: Pointless 140919 (svilo)

Close to the starting position with slightly more G's and almost a cube AtS





White is Player 2

score: 2
pip: 173
4 point match
pip: 173
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-c----E-D---cC---d-e----C-:0:0:1:00:0:2:0:4:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 52.881% (G:16.171% B:1.769%) 53.215% (G:16.242% B:2.504%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 47.119% (G:14.632% B:2.010%) 46.785% (G:15.953% B:2.518%)
Cubeless Equities -0.0163 +0.5044
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.5165±0.0123 (+0.5042..+0.5288)
Double/Take:+0.5044 (-0.0121)±0.0140 (+0.4904..+0.5185)
Double/Pass:+1.0000 (+0.4835)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 2.4%
Rollout details
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 46746902
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:89.8%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 43 minutes 35 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.206.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

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