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21 to play (-9,-3) rollout

Posted By: Keene
Date: Saturday, 20 September 2014, at 2:14 a.m.

In Response To: 21 to play (-9,-3) (Keene)

	is Steve score: 14 pip: 134 17 point match pip: 149 score: 8 is Keene
XGID=-a--B-CBBA-AcB--ad-d--bAA-:1:-1:1:21:8:14:0:17:6
to play 21

1.	Rollout1	24/23 11/9	eq: +0.228
	Player: Opponent: 56.44% (G:14.76% B:0.53%) 43.56% (G:12.57% B:2.33%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.222...+0.233) - [99.2%] Duration: 10 minutes 00 second
2.	Rollout1	24/23 13/11	eq: +0.218 (-0.010)
	Player: Opponent: 56.11% (G:15.48% B:0.67%) 43.89% (G:15.27% B:3.90%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.212...+0.224) - [0.8%] Duration: 11 minutes 01 second
3.	Rollout1	7/5 6/5	eq: +0.175 (-0.053)
	Player: Opponent: 55.07% (G:15.50% B:0.63%) 44.93% (G:19.27% B:4.37%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.169...+0.181) - [0.0%] Duration: 11 minutes 52 seconds
4.	Rollout1	24/23 9/7	eq: +0.164 (-0.063)
	Player: Opponent: 53.30% (G:15.15% B:0.55%) 46.70% (G:13.40% B:2.52%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.159...+0.170) - [0.0%] Duration: 9 minutes 55 seconds
5.	Rollout1	11/9 6/5	eq: +0.144 (-0.083)
	Player: Opponent: 53.91% (G:14.91% B:0.67%) 46.09% (G:19.07% B:3.62%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.138...+0.151) - [0.0%] Duration: 11 minutes 21 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

So, everyone wants to be a hero and slot the 5 (or super-hero like me and make it!). Just playing straight, even at this lopsided crappy score is the way to go. Dont stretch, you are inviting disaster.

Story goes, Opp missed the direct, I rolled a 53, failing to cover, but hitting, then eventually boxed him in chasing after a gammon, however, at first glance of my bearing off opened 6pt he rolled boxes, and comfortably saved the gammon.

K

Messages In This Thread

• 21 to play (-9,-3)
  Keene -- Wednesday, 17 September 2014, at 6:46 p.m.
  • 21 to play (-9,-3)
    scotty -- Wednesday, 17 September 2014, at 6:59 p.m.
  • 21 to play (-9,-3)
    Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 17 September 2014, at 11:58 p.m.
  • 21 to play (-9,-3)
    HOMINID -- Thursday, 18 September 2014, at 10:27 a.m.
  • 21 to play (-9,-3)
    Keene -- Thursday, 18 September 2014, at 12:51 p.m.
  • 21 to play (-9,-3) rollout
    Keene -- Saturday, 20 September 2014, at 2:14 a.m.
    • 21 to play (-9,-3) rollout
      Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 21 September 2014, at 10:20 p.m.