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Is it possible to manipulate dice rolls online?

Posted By: mamabear
Date: Tuesday, 23 September 2014, at 1:03 a.m.

In Response To: Is it possible to manipulate dice rolls online? (Marv Porten)

I assume that the answer is yes, someone could manipulate online dice if they cared enough to expend the needed time and effort. But a good enough hacker to do that can find much more profitable uses for his or her time, and so would be very unlikely to bother messing with the Gridgammon dice. After all, you can't even trade Gridgammon rating points for airline miles.

Without doing anything technical, one way to at least first-screen your suspicions would be to write down before you play, whether you think the dice are likely to be rigged in the match you are about to start. Then check out your luck rating in it, according to XG, both on equity and match-cost basis. Rinse and repeat till you have a large sample size.

If you instead wait for matches you already know were unlucky to use for your samples, of course you will find significantly worse than average luck in them.

A few years back, one of my opponents on FIBS accused me of rigging the dice, so I cheerfully admitted that I had done so, and that he'd caught me. He told other players, and for the next three weeks or so, every time I logged on, people opened chat windows asking me computer-related questions. (The most common one had nothing to do with dice-rigging. It was, "How can I play on FIBS through my employer's firewall?") But after a while, they all figured out the original accusation was baloney, and that I didn't know any more about computers than they did.

I suspect that your suspicions, too, will turn out to be unfounded. Even completely honest dice can produce distributions that really look strange at times!

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