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BGonline.org Forums
Win by 2.
Posted By: Rick Janowski In Response To: Win by 2. (Bob Koca)
Date: Saturday, 27 September 2014, at 10:51 p.m.
I can see your estimates are correct - I assumed wrongly that the equities would shift about 1 place from normal MET, which doesn't pick up the effect of lead switching scores.
If you allow for a backgammon rate of 1.25% this is even closer to your 27% estimate for 2a1a Crawford.
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