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Rollout

Posted By: Ian Dunstan
Date: Wednesday, 8 October 2014, at 6:05 a.m.

In Response To: Small technical play (Ian Dunstan)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 119
5 point match
Crawford
pip: 60
score: 4

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--aHFb------A---b--bbbb-b-:0:0:1:41:4:0:1:5:10
Blue to play 41

1.Rollout112/8 3/2* eq: -0.019
Player:
Opponent:		49.96% (G:20.27% B:1.17%)
50.04% (G:14.67% B:0.55%)		Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.023...-0.014) - [100.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 42 seconds
2.Rollout112/7eq: -0.089 (-0.070)
Player:
Opponent:		45.71% (G:13.49% B:1.72%)
54.29% (G:2.57% B:0.07%)		Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.095...-0.082) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 24 seconds
1 324 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 55273061
First 4 moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Remaining moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Search interval: Huge

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Neil was spot on in his analysis. I didn't think about the score. If you change the score and gammons do count....





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 119
5 point match
Crawford
pip: 60
score: 4

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--aHFb------A---b--bbbb-b-:1:1:1:41:4:1:1:5:10
Blue to play 41

1.XG Roller+12/7eq: -0.121
Player:
Opponent:		47.16% (G:9.39% B:0.19%)
52.84% (G:3.05% B:0.06%)
2.XG Roller+12/8 3/2* eq: -0.279 (-0.158)
Player:
Opponent:		51.26% (G:13.69% B:0.17%)
48.74% (G:14.49% B:0.46%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

A close to break-even case occurs for money where Blue owns the cube





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 119
Unlimited Game
pip: 60
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--aHFb------A---b--bbbb-b-:1:1:1:41:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 41

1.Rollout112/8 3/2* eq: +0.006
Player:
Opponent:		50.29% (G:10.64% B:0.11%)
49.71% (G:15.09% B:0.48%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.003...+0.009) - [98.7%]
Duration: 14 minutes 53 seconds
2.Rollout112/7eq: +0.001 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		46.26% (G:6.03% B:0.11%)
53.74% (G:2.78% B:0.06%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.003...+0.004) - [1.3%]
Duration: 24 minutes 34 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 55273061
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Search interval: Huge

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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