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My Calculations does not match XG.....
Posted By: Casper Van der Tak
Date: Wednesday, 8 October 2014, at 8:43 a.m.
In Response To: My Calculations does not match XG..... (__1ERROR1__)
The 8% is from your post, and the 0.30.35 is the estimate fraction of the games that will end with the cube on 2 (after cubing now). So I'd get a 26.527.5% take point, with some rounding.
Not that this is the way I'd do it OTB, but if you want to make a calculation, this seems reasonable (but not rigorous).

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