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Rollout

Posted By: Ian Dunstan
Date: Saturday, 18 October 2014, at 11:55 a.m.

In Response To: DMP 32 (Ian Dunstan)

One issue I had with this position otb was that my quick pip count just wasn't good enough and I thought I was further ahead in the race than I was. With a larger race lead my 15/10 might have been a better choice.

Even with a better pip count I'm not sure I would have found the best play otb anyway, I see 9/7 6/3 is a nice play after reading some posts here. I am surprised the stacked play 9/7 9/6 came out so well.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 128
1 point match
pip: 125
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b----EBCC--b--B-c-c-ab-b-:0:0:1:32:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 32

1.Rollout19/7 6/3eq: +0.331
Player:
Opponent:
66.55% (G:12.53% B:1.07%)
33.45% (G:9.51% B:0.12%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.326...+0.336) - [100.0%]
Duration: 24 minutes 21 seconds
2.Rollout19/7 9/6eq: +0.299 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:
64.97% (G:11.56% B:0.61%)
35.03% (G:7.78% B:0.18%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.295...+0.303) - [0.0%]
Duration: 21 minutes 05 seconds
3.Rollout19/7 8/5eq: +0.295 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:
64.76% (G:13.43% B:1.11%)
35.24% (G:12.10% B:0.19%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.291...+0.299) - [0.0%]
Duration: 24 minutes 15 seconds
4.Rollout19/4eq: +0.273 (-0.058)
Player:
Opponent:
63.64% (G:12.85% B:1.18%)
36.36% (G:11.13% B:0.31%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.268...+0.277) - [0.0%]
Duration: 22 minutes 39 seconds
5.Rollout115/10eq: +0.263 (-0.068)
Player:
Opponent:
63.17% (G:11.44% B:0.80%)
36.83% (G:11.15% B:0.17%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.259...+0.268) - [0.0%]
Duration: 21 minutes 10 seconds
6.Rollout18/5 7/5eq: +0.218 (-0.113)
Player:
Opponent:
60.90% (G:13.48% B:0.92%)
39.10% (G:10.56% B:0.30%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.214...+0.222) - [0.0%]
Duration: 22 minutes 22 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 90314786
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Search interval: Huge

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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