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Bearoff v. 24pt Anchor
Posted By: scotty
Date: Monday, 3 November 2014, at 11:20 a.m.
In Response To: Bearoff v. 24pt Anchor (Timothy Chow)
Timothy Chow wrote, "That's not the correct comparison. Either way, we will almost certainly have at most 5 checkers remaining when we get hit, and if we play 4/2 3/off now, then we'll probably have at most 2 checkers remaining when we get hit, whereas after 4/off 2/off we'll probably still have 4 checkers remaining when we get hit. "
Oh yes, of course. I should have phrased my answer differently, saying that our chances of winning increase with fewer checkers remaining to bear off. However, if we blot with 2 checkers remaining, and both get hit, our chances of winning are pretty much about 50%. Of course it is also possible that we'll end up with two checkers back with either of the possible moves. It will be interesting to see the rollout on this one.

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