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Possible problem with rollout

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Tuesday, 4 November 2014, at 5:26 p.m.

In Response To: Rollouts: ATS and for money (Timothy Chow)

I used XG to examine the cube action after 8/5* 6/5, dance and after 6/5* 4/1, dance.

After 6/5* 4/1, dance, XGR says D/P, and a rollout agrees.

After 8/5* 6/5, dance, all evaluations levels say ND/T but a short rollout says D/T.

So the rollout is probably slightly undervaluing the equity of 8/5* 6/5 and the two plays are probably closer than the rollout indicates. Unfortunately there seems to be no easy way to "correct" the rollout.

Messages In This Thread

• Just another 5pt problem...yawn
  Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 2 November 2014, at 11:50 p.m.
  • Just another 5pt problem...yawn
    scotty -- Monday, 3 November 2014, at 10:56 a.m.
  • Just another 5pt problem...yawn
    ah_clem -- Monday, 3 November 2014, at 1:44 p.m.
  • Just another 5pt problem...yawn
    garyo -- Monday, 3 November 2014, at 1:56 p.m.
  • Just another 5pt problem...yawn
    Trunky -- Monday, 3 November 2014, at 5:17 p.m.
  • Just another 5pt problem...yawn
    neilkaz -- Monday, 3 November 2014, at 5:54 p.m.
  • Rollouts: ATS and for money
    Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 4 November 2014, at 1:26 a.m.
    • Rollouts: ATS and for money
      Keene -- Tuesday, 4 November 2014, at 4:13 p.m.
      • Rollouts: ATS and for money
        Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 4 November 2014, at 5:28 p.m.
    • Possible problem with rollout
      Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 4 November 2014, at 5:26 p.m.
      • Possible problem with rollout
        Neil Robins -- Tuesday, 11 November 2014, at 1:34 p.m.