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OLM 20141102A -- opp doesn't hold 11-pt

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Thursday, 6 November 2014, at 6:00 p.m.

In Response To: OLM 20141102A -- some Q&D rollouts (Chuck Bower)





White is Player 2

score: 4
pip: 125
11 point match
pip: 158
score: 3

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-----BCAB-AAeB---cbcC-a-a-:0:0:-1:00:3:4:0:11:10
White on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 79.685% (G:4.454% B:0.043%) 80.540% (G:4.261% B:0.064%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 20.315% (G:1.257% B:0.053%) 19.460% (G:1.547% B:0.060%)
Cubeless Equities +0.6272 +1.3092
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.9994 (-0.0006)±0.0048 (+0.9945..+1.0042)
Double/Take:+1.1837 (+0.1837)±0.0129 (+1.1707..+1.1966)
Double/Pass:+1.0000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 62344806
Moves: 2-ply, cube decisions: 3-ply
Double Decision confidence:60.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 2 minutes 18 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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