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BGonline.org Forums
Settlement on 8 Cube
Posted By: Mike Clapsadle In Response To: Settlement on 8 Cube (Seth)
Date: Saturday, 8 November 2014, at 3:22 p.m.
Quickly I was thinking 5 pts, and would probably suggest that OTB.
XG has blue winning 66% with 47% gammon.
White hits 15 times (they won't win all of these games, but they will still lose sometimes when they miss, so I'm going to assume they are close to the same chances). So they are going to win 8pts 15 times for 120
Blue is going to win about 15 gammons on the misses = 240, plus 48 on the single wins, for 288. they net 168, and average about 4.5 pts per victory.
So, I would say 4.5 The math is rough, but that's how I would figure it OTB.
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