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Rollout Results, Variations

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Friday, 14 November 2014, at 7:57 p.m.

In Response To: Late Game 31 (Paul Weaver)

The rollout results of Positions 1 and 2 indicate that one play is best for money and another is best at 9a9a. The rollout results of Positions 3 and 4 show that one move is best at 8a9a and another is best at 7a9a. In my opinion, these are unfigureoutable over the board.

Position 1. White is White score: 0 pip: 129 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 76 score: 0 Blue is BLue XGID=-BBBaBCdB-B--------bbb-bb-:1:-1:1:31:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 31 1. Rollout1 6/2 eq: +1.015 Player: Opponent: 89.23% (G:28.20% B:0.03%) 10.77% (G:1.04% B:0.03%) Conf.: ± 0.001 (+1.014...+1.016) - [100.0%] Duration: 26 minutes 37 seconds 2. Rollout1 8/4* eq: +1.009 (-0.006) Player: Opponent: 77.08% (G:63.45% B:0.07%) 22.92% (G:7.14% B:0.14%) Conf.: ± 0.001 (+1.008...+1.010) - [0.0%] Duration: 11 minutes 47 seconds 1 20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 101 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Position 2. White is White score: 0 pip: 129 9 point match pip: 76 score: 0 Blue is Blue XGID=-BBBaBCdB-B--------bbb-bb-:1:-1:1:31:0:0:0:9:10 Blue to play 31 1. Rollout1 8/4* eq: +1.053 Player: Opponent: 77.09% (G:63.54% B:0.08%) 22.91% (G:7.20% B:0.14%) Conf.: ± 0.001 (+1.052...+1.055) - [100.0%] Duration: 24 minutes 40 seconds 2. Rollout1 6/2 eq: +1.035 (-0.019) Player: Opponent: 89.26% (G:28.18% B:0.03%) 10.74% (G:1.05% B:0.03%) Conf.: ± 0.001 (+1.033...+1.036) - [0.0%] Duration: 53 minutes 54 seconds 1 20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 101 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Position 3. White is White score: 0 pip: 129 9 point match pip: 76 score: 1 Blue is Blue XGID=-BBBaBCdB-B--------bbb-bb-:1:-1:1:31:1:0:0:9:10 Blue to play 31 1. Rollout1 8/4* eq: +1.049 Player: Opponent: 77.15% (G:63.65% B:0.08%) 22.85% (G:7.21% B:0.14%) Conf.: ± 0.003 (+1.046...+1.052) - [100.0%] Duration: 6 minutes 24 seconds 2. Rollout1 6/2 eq: +1.031 (-0.018) Player: Opponent: 89.16% (G:28.35% B:0.03%) 10.84% (G:1.05% B:0.03%) Conf.: ± 0.002 (+1.029...+1.034) - [0.0%] Duration: 14 minutes 24 seconds 1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 101 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Position 4. White is White score: 0 pip: 129 9 point match pip: 76 score: 2 Blue is Blue XGID=-BBBaBCdB-B--------bbb-bb-:1:-1:1:31:2:0:0:9:10 Blue to play 31 1. Rollout1 6/2 eq: +1.008 Player: Opponent: 88.59% (G:29.83% B:0.03%) 11.41% (G:1.18% B:0.03%) Conf.: ± 0.001 (+1.006...+1.009) - [99.0%] Duration: 55 minutes 53 seconds 2. Rollout1 8/4* eq: +1.005 (-0.002) Player: Opponent: 77.16% (G:63.65% B:0.08%) 22.84% (G:7.22% B:0.14%) Conf.: ± 0.001 (+1.004...+1.007) - [1.0%] Duration: 22 minutes 56 seconds 1 20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 101 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Messages In This Thread

• Late Game 31
  Paul Weaver -- Thursday, 13 November 2014, at 11:34 p.m.
  • Late Game 31
    Keene -- Friday, 14 November 2014, at 2:54 p.m.
    • Late Game 31
      Timothy Chow -- Friday, 14 November 2014, at 6:43 p.m.
  • Rollout Results, Variations
    Paul Weaver -- Friday, 14 November 2014, at 7:57 p.m.
    • Rollout Results, Variations
      Keene -- Friday, 14 November 2014, at 8:07 p.m.
    • Rollout Results, Variations
      Timothy Chow -- Friday, 14 November 2014, at 10:45 p.m.
      • Rollout Results, Variations
        David Presser -- Friday, 14 November 2014, at 11:38 p.m.
        • Rollout Results, Variations
          Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 15 November 2014, at 5:22 p.m.
          • Rollout Results, Variations
            Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 15 November 2014, at 5:23 p.m.