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OLM 20141116B The Dilly Builders

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Monday, 17 November 2014, at 4:03 p.m.

In Response To: OLM 20141116B The Dilly Builders (Fatboy)

AtS your side at 8a6a has more recube vig than for money.

Assume that you've turned the game around and are recubing to 4. If we take and lose a G we lose the match exactly and with no overage. You don't need to get into math to realize that you'd recube quicker than normal with some G threats and that we need to pass a gammonish 4 cube sooner than for money.

When we take that recube at 4, we must be very careful about returning it to 8 since if you pass you trail 8a2a you have only 12.5% MWC and therefore can take much easier than for money.

So since, we like nothing about holding a 4 cube AtS, your side will be quicker to return it than for money, so we need to adjust and double a bit later than for money.

There, once I determine that I think this is a borderline decision to cube or not for money, I simply roll the dice AtS since we need a somewhat better position to cube AtS.

Had you side rolled a worse number that had left a fly shot in your outfield rather than making a useful point, I think I'd have doubled.

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