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BGonline.org Forums
I Screwed Up My BackGame Defense Checker Play
Posted By: Keene In Response To: I Screwed Up My BackGame Defense Checker Play (Paul Weaver)
Date: Tuesday, 2 December 2014, at 5:58 p.m.
1. 20(2) 2. 21/15,8/6 3. 21/16,14/10 4. 14/7 5. 14/13,12/10 6. 14/10,12/7 7. 12/7,9/6 8. 9/6,9/7 9. 8/6(2),7/5(2)
With so many positions, its hard to write up a little bit about each play, but I will try for a generic approach here. I want white to crash the homeboard, and put checkers on his acepoint, so all my plays are designed to allow that to happen as best as I can. I also want to put spares in the right places, so moving them around to find best clearing options or spots to put them in becomes a later priority. There isnt enough time to squeeze off either the 4 or 2 points, so thats out of the question. I am also unwilling to give up the 6pt as that becomes a point that white wants to own in this backgame. I also dont mind getting one checker hit, but recycling two or three concurrently is hard work, and quite frankly, I'd rather let this play out the other way than outthink myself with creative self crashing plays.
So, I think I can give up over 0.8 in equity over these 9 plays, but quite frankly, I dont know if I trust the XG evals enough for these super-backgame type positions. Even if XG agrees with any of my plays (lmao, like thats gonna happen), then I dont know that I would trust that answer either. However, you must trust something, so may as well go with whatever XG says, as its probably closer than anything else is going to be.
K
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