[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Matchplay cube

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Saturday, 6 December 2014, at 4:13 p.m.

In Response To: Matchplay cube (Michael Depreli)

Definitely a cube since 1)I'm not sure White has a take. 2)The 20 hits (plus 66) are mostly market losers. 3) 44 is the only anti-joker.

T or P? I think the trailer's gammon-adjusted tp (GATP)is around 35% less cube vig. How much for cube vig? Assuming that 30% of the trailer's wins will be gammons makes the leader's 4-cube GATP ~39%. Assuming 75% efficiency, cube vig should be worth around 75% of 35%*39% = 10+%. So the trailer's true tp is a little below 25%.

Can White win this often? Looks close. Give White 3 wins on the 20 hits + 66, 1 win on Blue's 44 = 4 wins out of these 22. Can White squeeze out 5 wins on the other 14 non-hitters? That's a little over 35%. I think so. Blue has just that one spare on his side of the board which might not be enough to contain White.

D/close take.

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.