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Rollout

Posted By: Ian Dunstan
Date: Monday, 8 December 2014, at 6:31 a.m.

In Response To: DMP 51 (Ian Dunstan)

I considered 8/2 otb, however seeing 6 and 4 to cover while 6 and 4 are needed to leap dissuaded me. I think that in most variations Blue is on the bar next roll, so the duplication of 4's and 6's is a spurious argument. Slotting the 2pt while leaving the rest of the position structurally sound is the key.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 114
1 point match
pip: 139
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b--BBC-D----B--b-bbbAbcA-:0:0:1:51:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 51

1.Rollout18/2eq: -0.121
Player:
Opponent:
43.94% (G:12.85% B:2.27%)
56.06% (G:38.08% B:3.57%)
Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.131...-0.111) - [100.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 12 seconds
2.Rollout113/8 6/5eq: -0.145 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:
42.74% (G:11.46% B:1.88%)
57.26% (G:34.55% B:2.46%)
Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.155...-0.135) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 41 seconds
3.XG Roller+8/3 6/5eq: -0.168 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:
41.59% (G:12.38% B:0.96%)
58.41% (G:38.14% B:1.80%)
4.XG Roller+8/3 4/3eq: -0.178 (-0.057)
Player:
Opponent:
41.12% (G:12.12% B:0.86%)
58.88% (G:37.55% B:1.80%)
5.XG Roller+13/12 13/8eq: -0.180 (-0.059)
Player:
Opponent:
41.00% (G:12.16% B:0.95%)
59.00% (G:32.94% B:1.39%)
6.XG Roller+13/7eq: -0.249 (-0.128)
Player:
Opponent:
37.54% (G:11.02% B:0.86%)
62.46% (G:43.04% B:4.05%)
1 324 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 22507742
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Search interval: Huge

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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