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Pointless - fine tuning

Posted By: svilo
Date: Wednesday, 10 December 2014, at 6:12 a.m.

In Response To: Pointless - fine tuning (svilo)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 124
7 point match
pip: 115
score: 3

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--b-EDC--C---aa--bcab-b-:0:0:1:00:3:0:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 72.38% (G:5.00% B:0.26%) 72.38% (G:5.06% B:0.43%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 27.62% (G:2.52% B:0.02%) 27.62% (G:2.48% B:0.03%)
Cubeless Equities +0.490 +1.188
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.862 (-0.054)±0.008 (+0.855..+0.870)
Double/Take:+0.916±0.013 (+0.903..+0.929)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.084)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 7 minutes 28 seconds

Score. Fine implications. At score this is a small double and a definite take. At -7-7 it is a small no double and in an unlimited match it is a definite no double. Let it brew a day.

After the rollout it turns out the double is not small at all! It is just in time! I guess after the golden point is taken it is a clear pass. He may have a choice to break his board or be squeezed out from my four point. The be bautiful strength of my 11 point is that it is 6 away from my next point and MORE THAN 6 away from his anchor :) In range and out of range.

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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