XG rollout confidence figures have always seemed flaky to me, this is just something I rolled out today.
  White is XG Roller++
score: 0 pip: 116  7 point match  pip: 212 score: 0
Blue is Neil   XGID=BBaBAAacbbbCbbBB:1:1:1:65:0:0:0:7:10  Blue to play 65   1.  Rollout^{1}  20/14 12/7*  eq: 0.198   Player: Opponent:  43.49% (G:5.45% B:0.35%) 56.51% (G:28.28% B:4.45%)  Conf.: ± 0.020 (0.218...0.178)  [84.6%] Duration: 4 minutes 43 seconds 
 2.  Rollout^{1}  20/9  eq: 0.213 (0.015)   Player: Opponent:  43.70% (G:4.99% B:0.31%) 56.30% (G:28.37% B:4.84%)  Conf.: ± 0.019 (0.232...0.193)  [15.3%] Duration: 4 minutes 06 seconds 
 3.  Rollout^{1}  20/14 10/5  eq: 0.234 (0.036)   Player: Opponent:  42.85% (G:5.17% B:0.27%) 57.15% (G:28.53% B:3.91%)  Conf.: ± 0.018 (0.252...0.217)  [0.1%] Duration: 3 minutes 47 seconds 
  ^{1} 648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 71284 First 2 moves: 4ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+ Remaining moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller


eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: RockwellKazaross
  White is XG Roller++
score: 0 pip: 116  7 point match  pip: 212 score: 0
Blue is Neil   XGID=BBaBAAacbbbCbbBB:1:1:1:65:0:0:0:7:10  Blue to play 65   1.  Rollout^{1}  20/14 12/7*  eq: 0.219   Player: Opponent:  43.30% (G:5.56% B:0.30%) 56.70% (G:29.09% B:4.53%)  Conf.: ± 0.005 (0.224...0.214)  [42.7%] Duration: 54 minutes 03 seconds 
 2.  Rollout^{1}  20/14 10/5  eq: 0.219 (0.000)   Player: Opponent:  42.98% (G:5.11% B:0.39%) 57.02% (G:28.11% B:4.04%)  Conf.: ± 0.005 (0.224...0.214)  [37.7%] Duration: 45 minutes 40 seconds 
 3.  Rollout^{1}  20/9  eq: 0.220 (0.001)   Player: Opponent:  43.34% (G:4.85% B:0.33%) 56.66% (G:28.41% B:4.51%)  Conf.: ± 0.005 (0.225...0.215)  [19.6%] Duration: 45 minutes 59 seconds 
  ^{1} 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 71284 First 2 moves: 4ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+ Remaining moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller


eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: RockwellKazaross