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31P-22E-62R-52O-61N-54 No Jacoby, No Beavers 3-ply XG2 Rollout

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Sunday, 14 December 2014, at 9:05 p.m.

In Response To: Another Chance To Run Off the 22pt Anchor (Taper_Mike)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 148
Unlimited Game
pip: 152
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--B-D-C---eD-a-b-cc-B---:0:0:1:54:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 54

1.Rollout122/13eq: -0.1231
Player:
Opponent:
47.34% (G:9.36% B:0.34%)
52.66% (G:13.59% B:0.35%)
Conf.: ±0.0066 (-0.1297...-0.1165) - [100.0%]
Duration: 35 minutes 22 seconds
2.Rollout113/4eq: -0.1872 (-0.0641)
Player:
Opponent:
44.21% (G:11.33% B:0.27%)
55.79% (G:10.28% B:0.42%)
Conf.: ±0.0061 (-0.1933...-0.1811) - [0.0%]
Duration: 33 minutes 02 seconds
3.Rollout113/9 13/8eq: -0.2136 (-0.0905)
Player:
Opponent:
43.52% (G:11.43% B:0.34%)
56.48% (G:10.09% B:0.43%)
Conf.: ±0.0062 (-0.2198...-0.2074) - [0.0%]
Duration: 32 minutes 50 seconds
 
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 30619052
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Rollout by Taper_Mike
2014-Dec-13
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10.199.2658
31P-22E-62R-52O-61N-54-n-tm.xgp
n[R O64 D90] "<=5
n[R O40 D62] "&e

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

31P-22E-62R-52O-61N-54 — Unlimited Games
Bot Seed Equity Nacbracs Link
GnuBg 1.04 2-ply Trunc 765990745 137.908 n[R O28 D54] '/0.360t Taper_Mike
XG 2.10 3-ply, Cubes: XGR 30619052 123.1 n[R O64 D90] "<=5 Taper_Mike (above)
XG 2.10 XGR++ Eval [XGR++ seed] 132.6 n[R O40 D62] "&e Taper_Mike

Playing two down from the midpoint is a weak attempt to counter-prime that leaves the midpoint stripped. It puts Blue into a game plan where he is a decided underdog. Running is a game plan where his chances are closer to even.

Mike

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