This position came up in our local club tourney this past Saturday. I played 4/2*(2) and that is correct for money. It looked close between this play and 9/6 1/off at DMP but switching points certainly wins more gammons. You can win a g if Black dances forever or after the 545x sequence. Switching from 4 to 2 is better than from 3 to 2 since it's easier to clear against a phantom 4 point game than a 3.
1.  Rollout^{1}  4/2*(2)  eq: +0.826 
 Player: Opponent:  89.76% (G:5.77% B:0.03%) 10.24% (G:0.13% B:0.00%)  Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.823...+0.829)  [100.0%] Duration: 1 minute 40 seconds 

2.  Rollout^{1}  9/6 1/Off  eq: +0.814 (0.012) 
 Player: Opponent:  91.00% (G:2.08% B:0.02%) 9.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)  Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.810...+0.817)  [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 27 seconds 

3.  Rollout^{1}  9/8 5/4 3/2*(2)  eq: +0.791 (0.035) 
 Player: Opponent:  88.24% (G:5.69% B:0.03%) 11.76% (G:0.12% B:0.00%)  Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.788...+0.793)  [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 37 seconds 

4.  Rollout^{1}  9/6 5/4  eq: +0.790 (0.036) 
 Player: Opponent:  90.26% (G:1.33% B:0.01%) 9.74% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)  Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.787...+0.793)  [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 09 seconds 

5.  Rollout^{1}  5/2* 2/1  eq: +0.787 (0.039) 
 Player: Opponent:  88.98% (G:3.99% B:0.02%) 11.02% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)  Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.784...+0.791)  [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 35 seconds 

6.  Rollout^{1}  9/8 6/5 3/2*(2)  eq: +0.778 (0.048) 
 Player: Opponent:  87.89% (G:5.40% B:0.03%) 12.11% (G:0.13% B:0.00%)  Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.776...+0.781)  [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 28 seconds 

7.  Rollout^{1}  9/7 3/2*(2)  eq: +0.776 (0.050) 
 Player: Opponent:  87.56% (G:6.12% B:0.04%) 12.44% (G:0.14% B:0.00%)  Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.774...+0.779)  [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 06 seconds 

8.  Rollout^{1}  6/4 3/2*(2)  eq: +0.768 (0.058) 
 Player: Opponent:  87.24% (G:5.94% B:0.04%) 12.76% (G:0.12% B:0.00%)  Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.765...+0.771)  [0.0%] Duration: 50.7 seconds 

9.  Rollout^{1}  9/5  eq: +0.768 (0.058) 
 Player: Opponent:  89.08% (G:1.61% B:0.01%) 10.92% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)  Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.764...+0.771)  [0.0%] Duration: 58.3 seconds 


^{1} 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00
Gammons are meaningless at DMP so 9/6 1/off comes out on top. This play leaves no blotting numbers on your next shake, gives you a handful of jokers that PoH or switch, while only 66,64,54 leave a position where you will probably have to leave a direct shot. Remember that leaving a 17/1 fly shot now gets hit more often than leaving no shots now but a position where 6 of your next rolls leave an eleven number direct shot next time (2/36 x 36/36 vs. 6/36 x 11/36).
1.  Rollout^{1}  9/6 1/Off  eq: +0.819 
 Player: Opponent:  90.96% (G:4.44% B:0.09%) 9.04% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)  Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.817...+0.822)  [100.0%] Duration: 1 minute 11 seconds 

2.  Rollout^{1}  9/6 5/4  eq: +0.807 (0.012) 
 Player: Opponent:  90.36% (G:3.03% B:0.03%) 9.64% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)  Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.805...+0.809)  [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 03 seconds 

3.  Rollout^{1}  4/2*(2)  eq: +0.799 (0.020) 
 Player: Opponent:  89.97% (G:5.84% B:0.02%) 10.03% (G:0.09% B:0.00%)  Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.797...+0.801)  [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 35 seconds 

4.  Rollout^{1}  9/5  eq: +0.781 (0.038) 
 Player: Opponent:  89.06% (G:3.10% B:0.03%) 10.94% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)  Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.779...+0.784)  [0.0%] Duration: 46.6 seconds 

5.  Rollout^{1}  5/2* 2/1  eq: +0.781 (0.038) 
 Player: Opponent:  89.06% (G:4.88% B:0.04%) 10.94% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)  Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.779...+0.784)  [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 23 seconds 

6.  Rollout^{1}  9/8 5/4 3/2*(2)  eq: +0.770 (0.050) 
 Player: Opponent:  88.49% (G:7.23% B:0.02%) 11.51% (G:0.04% B:0.00%)  Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.768...+0.772)  [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 29 seconds 

7.  Rollout^{1}  9/8 6/5 3/2*(2)  eq: +0.760 (0.059) 
 Player: Opponent:  88.01% (G:5.94% B:0.04%) 11.99% (G:0.12% B:0.00%)  Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.758...+0.762)  [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 22 seconds 

8.  Rollout^{1}  9/7 3/2*(2)  eq: +0.760 (0.060) 
 Player: Opponent:  87.98% (G:6.33% B:0.03%) 12.02% (G:0.13% B:0.00%)  Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.758...+0.762)  [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 11 seconds 

9.  Rollout^{1}  6/4 3/2*(2)  eq: +0.743 (0.076) 
 Player: Opponent:  87.16% (G:6.75% B:0.02%) 12.84% (G:0.10% B:0.00%)  Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.741...+0.745)  [0.0%] Duration: 54.2 seconds 


^{1} 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00, MET: Kazaross XG2