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XG 3 Ply Error #3

Posted By: Stick
Date: Saturday, 20 December 2014, at 12:08 a.m.

In Response To: XG 3 Ply Error #3 (Stick)

3 ply thought this was a ND by .044.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 109
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 129
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=----BaBBCBA--A-B-dccbb----:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 71.82% (G:5.70% B:0.10%) 73.08% (G:6.36% B:0.18%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 28.18% (G:7.40% B:0.31%) 26.92% (G:7.44% B:0.38%)
Cubeless Equities +0.417 +0.898
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.620 (-0.128)±0.010 (+0.610..+0.630)
Double/Take:+0.749±0.019 (+0.729..+0.768)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.251)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 38954952
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 7 minutes 19 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.206.pre-release

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