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No surprises- RO

Posted By: gudgen
Date: Sunday, 21 December 2014, at 9:08 p.m.

In Response To: Second thoughts (neilkaz)

	is Player 2 score: 8 pip: 54 9 point match pip: 91 score: 7 is Player 1
XGID=a-ABBBCBB--------A--b-aef-:1:-1:1:51:7:8:0:9:10
to play 51

1.	Rollout1	8/2	eq: +0.940
	Player: Opponent: 97.02% (G:7.21% B:0.18%) 2.98% (G:0.03% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.939...+0.941) - [100.0%] Duration: 35.5 seconds
2.	Rollout1	17/11	eq: +0.923 (-0.017)
	Player: Opponent: 96.17% (G:10.76% B:0.44%) 3.83% (G:0.09% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.922...+0.925) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 04 seconds
3.	Rollout1	17/16 6/1	eq: +0.920 (-0.020)
	Player: Opponent: 95.99% (G:14.12% B:0.72%) 4.01% (G:0.23% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.918...+0.921) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 52 seconds
4.	4-ply	17/12 6/5	eq: +0.899 (-0.041)
	Player: Opponent: 94.97% (G:15.77% B:0.64%) 5.03% (G:0.10% B:0.00%)
5.	3-ply	17/12 2/1	eq: +0.883 (-0.057)
	Player: Opponent: 94.15% (G:16.57% B:0.58%) 5.85% (G:0.12% B:0.00%)
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Exactly. I was dinged for trying to pick a second checker here: 17/11. Did not realize it still carries a small risk (not moving up the prime).

	is Player 2 score: 8 pip: 54 9 point match pip: 91 score: 6 is Player 1
XGID=a-ABBBCBB--------A--b-aef-:1:-1:1:51:6:8:0:9:10
to play 51

1.	Rollout1	17/16 6/1	eq: +1.377
	Player: Opponent: 92.73% (G:26.10% B:2.09%) 7.27% (G:1.48% B:0.03%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (+1.372...+1.381) - [100.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 49 seconds
2.	Rollout1	17/11	eq: +1.296 (-0.081)
	Player: Opponent: 92.51% (G:22.26% B:1.73%) 7.49% (G:1.36% B:0.02%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (+1.292...+1.300) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 56 seconds
3.	Rollout1	8/2	eq: +1.226 (-0.151)
	Player: Opponent: 92.87% (G:18.41% B:1.42%) 7.13% (G:1.36% B:0.01%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (+1.222...+1.229) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 19 seconds
4.	3-ply	17/12 2/1	eq: +1.242 (-0.135)
	Player: Opponent: 93.32% (G:18.76% B:0.65%) 6.68% (G:0.58% B:0.00%)
5.	3-ply	17/12 6/5	eq: +1.241 (-0.136)
	Player: Opponent: 94.20% (G:17.85% B:0.61%) 5.80% (G:0.25% B:0.00%)
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

"Slight" variation was " tongue in cheek" of course. NEXT.

Messages In This Thread

• Second thoughts
  gudgen -- Saturday, 20 December 2014, at 7:12 p.m.
  • Second thoughts
    Stick -- Saturday, 20 December 2014, at 10:55 p.m.
    • Second thoughts
      neilkaz -- Sunday, 21 December 2014, at 2:55 a.m.
      • Second thoughts
        Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 21 December 2014, at 6:17 p.m.
      • No surprises- RO
        gudgen -- Sunday, 21 December 2014, at 9:08 p.m.
    • Second thoughts
      Igor -- Sunday, 21 December 2014, at 3:14 a.m.