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Yes, Virginia, there is a totally safe play
Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Tuesday, 30 December 2014, at 1:38 a.m.
In Response To: Yes, Virginia, there is a totally safe play (Timothy Chow)
Since I'm not posting that many positions to BGO nowadays, the safe bet is that I'm not bluffing (by which I mean posting a position with an obvious QF play but where the bot play isn't the QF play). See, however, the variant.
         
 
        
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 89 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 105
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-aCaC-B-B--C-B----a-cbbbc-:0:0:1:63:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 63 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 11/5 8/5 | eq: +0.285 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 57.95% (G:9.53% B:0.32%)
42.05% (G:7.91% B:0.05%) | Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.277...+0.294) - [100.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 49 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 11/2 | eq: +0.216 (-0.069) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 55.26% (G:4.94% B:0.12%)
44.74% (G:4.48% B:0.07%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.208...+0.224) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 31 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 13/4 | eq: +0.174 (-0.111) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 53.70% (G:5.47% B:0.14%)
46.30% (G:5.30% B:0.05%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.166...+0.181) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 50 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
Variant:
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 96 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 105
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-aCaC-B-B--C-B---aa-cbbbb-:0:0:1:63:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 63 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 11/2 | eq: +0.264 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 56.86% (G:4.54% B:0.10%)
43.14% (G:4.61% B:0.07%) | Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.255...+0.272) - [100.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 02 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 11/5 8/5 | eq: +0.234 (-0.029) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 57.22% (G:8.62% B:0.33%)
42.78% (G:8.85% B:0.06%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.226...+0.243) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 43 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 13/4 | eq: +0.227 (-0.037) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 55.53% (G:4.81% B:0.11%)
44.47% (G:5.29% B:0.06%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.219...+0.235) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 28 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
Messages In This Thread
- Yes, Virginia, there is a totally safe play
Timothy Chow -- Monday, 29 December 2014, at 12:30 a.m.
- Yes, Virginia, there is a totally safe play
Taper_Mike -- Monday, 29 December 2014, at 12:47 a.m.
- Yes, Virginia, there is a totally safe play
ah_clem -- Monday, 29 December 2014, at 1:08 a.m.
- Yes, Virginia, there is a totally safe play
ben -- Monday, 29 December 2014, at 2:01 p.m.
- Yes, Virginia, there is a totally safe play
neilkaz -- Monday, 29 December 2014, at 5:03 p.m.
- Yes, Virginia, there is a totally safe play
Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 30 December 2014, at 1:38 a.m.
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