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Why so bad?

Posted By: Mike Clapsadle
Date: Sunday, 4 January 2015, at 3:57 p.m.

I was reviewing some of my grid matches and came across this position. I cleared the 10 point, playing it safe. Hitting only leaves 5 shots, but I didn't want to hit because my opponents board is strong, and I felt his hit checker could cause me trouble in the future. Sure winning a gammon would be nice, getting to Crawford while avoiding 2-away, and if he fails to hit, the position will be easier to clear.

I can see why hitting may be the better play, my question is, why is clearing the 10 point a 48% blunder? This seems extraordinarily high to me. Am I missing something here?

Messages In This Thread

• Why so bad?
  Mike Clapsadle -- Sunday, 4 January 2015, at 3:57 p.m.
  • Why so bad?
    Bill Calton -- Sunday, 4 January 2015, at 4:27 p.m.
    • Why so bad?
      neilkaz -- Sunday, 4 January 2015, at 7:47 p.m.
      • Why so bad?
        Taper_Mike -- Sunday, 4 January 2015, at 10:35 p.m.
  • Why so bad?
    Daniel Murphy -- Sunday, 4 January 2015, at 4:45 p.m.
    • Why so bad?
      Mike Clapsadle -- Sunday, 4 January 2015, at 5:19 p.m.
      • Why so bad?
        Daniel Murphy -- Monday, 5 January 2015, at 12:43 a.m.
  • Why so bad?
    Kevin Finch -- Sunday, 4 January 2015, at 7:40 p.m.