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Optimal non-contact bearoff distribution

Posted By: Colin Owen
Date: Wednesday, 7 January 2015, at 11:01 p.m.

In Response To: Optimal non-contact bearoff distribution (leobueno)

When playing a regular heads up opponent (until he finally had an unlucky session, and stopped the cheque) he always enjoyed me telling him, in positions akin to this that, as blue, I had the optimum configuration:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 15
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 70
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--ABCDE-----------------o-:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 10.865% (G:0.000% B:0.000%) 10.649% (G:0.000% B:0.000%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 89.135% (G:0.000% B:0.000%) 89.351% (G:0.000% B:0.000%)
Cubeless Equities -0.7827 -1.5740
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:-0.75670.0000 (-0.7567..-0.7566)
Redouble/Beaver:-2.0000 (-1.2433)0.0001 (-2.0001..-1.9999)
Redouble/Pass:+1.0000 (+1.7567)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Beaver
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 29.3%
Rollout details
1679616 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 45367334
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 3 minutes 47 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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