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11@GS: How to break the board?

Posted By: Martin
Date: Sunday, 11 January 2015, at 8:20 a.m.

In Response To: 11@GS: How to break the board? (Martin)

OTB I quickly played 7/6(2) to avoid a direct shot. Then I played 3/1, hoping to be able to mend the board later, which was clearly the wrong idea. I did consider opening a lower point, but now I understand that this is not about keeping a decent board but about avoiding shots at all cost.

Thank you for your lucid comments!

is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 117
9 point match
pip: 80
score: 5

is Player 1
XGID=-BBBBbDB--------bbbbabAb--:2:1:1:11:5:1:0:9:10
to play 11

1.Rollout17/6(2) 4/3(2)eq: -0,462
Player:
Opponent:
32,56% (G:12,26% B:0,16%)
67,44% (G:5,66% B:0,17%)
Conf.: ± 0,003 (-0,465...-0,459) - [100,0%]
Duration: 27 minutes 51 seconds
2.Rollout14/3 4/1eq: -0,487 (-0,025)
Player:
Opponent:
33,61% (G:13,67% B:0,12%)
66,39% (G:7,95% B:0,26%)
Conf.: ± 0,003 (-0,490...-0,484) - [0,0%]
Duration: 24 minutes 45 seconds
3.Rollout17/6(2) 3/2(2)eq: -0,500 (-0,038)
Player:
Opponent:
32,44% (G:14,18% B:0,14%)
67,56% (G:7,42% B:0,29%)
Conf.: ± 0,004 (-0,503...-0,496) - [0,0%]
Duration: 29 minutes 10 seconds
4.Rollout14/2(2)eq: -0,512 (-0,050)
Player:
Opponent:
33,17% (G:13,69% B:0,12%)
66,83% (G:8,76% B:0,36%)
Conf.: ± 0,003 (-0,515...-0,509) - [0,0%]
Duration: 21 minutes 27 seconds
5.Rollout17/6(2) 4/2eq: -0,525 (-0,063)
Player:
Opponent:
31,75% (G:15,06% B:0,13%)
68,25% (G:8,00% B:0,29%)
Conf.: ± 0,004 (-0,528...-0,521) - [0,0%]
Duration: 21 minutes 52 seconds
6.Rollout13/1(2)eq: -0,531 (-0,069)
Player:
Opponent:
33,02% (G:14,38% B:0,10%)
66,98% (G:9,56% B:0,41%)
Conf.: ± 0,004 (-0,534...-0,527) - [0,0%]
Duration: 24 minutes 02 seconds
7.Rollout17/6(2) 3/1eq: -0,543 (-0,081)
Player:
Opponent:
31,39% (G:14,88% B:0,19%)
68,61% (G:8,54% B:0,41%)
Conf.: ± 0,004 (-0,547...-0,539) - [0,0%]
Duration: 22 minutes 37 seconds
8.Rollout17/6(2) 2/1(2)eq: -0,546 (-0,084)
Player:
Opponent:
31,36% (G:13,91% B:0,23%)
68,64% (G:8,66% B:0,42%)
Conf.: ± 0,004 (-0,550...-0,542) - [0,0%]
Duration: 27 minutes 31 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 59266422
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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