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BGonline.org Forums
bearoff cube decision AtS
Posted By: Stick In Response To: bearoff cube decision AtS (Chuck Bower)
Date: Saturday, 17 January 2015, at 4:23 p.m.
The LCTP at 4a 5a is low, around 19%. The DCTP is about 23%. Since there isn't a lot of time for us to get in a recube the TP here will be closer to the DCTP so 21-22%? (Much like a 3 roll v. 3 roll is a huge pass even though the winning chances are just above 21% which for a longer race would make it a bare pass. We have no opportunity to use the cube there whatsoever so the TP is really our DCTP)
As to whether or not 4a has enough to take idk. Lucky for me if I'm playing I assume I'm the better player (as everyone does) and it doesn't matter, auto drop.
Stick
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