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BGonline.org Forums
bearoff cube decision AtS
Posted By: John O'Hagan In Response To: bearoff cube decision AtS (Chuck Bower)
Date: Saturday, 17 January 2015, at 9:50 p.m.
The dead cube tp is around 24% and the trailer's 4-cube tp on anything but a last roll position is 26%. Assuming 70% efficiency, the true tp should be < 20%. 60% efficiency lowers it to ~20%.
Is it a take? I think so. Blue wastes about 2 more pips than White so I'd make this a 27-31 race which gives White about 22% cubeless chances.
D/T.
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