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OLM 20150121A The Dilly Builders

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Thursday, 22 January 2015, at 1:49 p.m.

In Response To: OLM 20150121A The Dilly Builders (Jason Lee)

The PF's have a blot in their homeboard, so it's worth looking at paying now with 18/11.

Ok, I've looked at it, and am going to reject it. We have a big race lead and both runners escaped, so paying now seems like the wrong idea. So does slotting with 10/3.

That leaves 11/4, 11/6 10/8, and 11/9 10/5. 11/4 seems less flexible, but leaves no shots. The other two plays leave two shots. With the homeboard blot to shoot at I think we can risk the 1/18 odds to be hit in order to gain flexibility.

The key seems to be how sixes play. After 11/6 10/8, 64 plays poorly, after 11/9 10/5 62 and 65 play poorly. I'll go with 11/6 10/8, but my hunchis that the two plays are fairly close.

11/6 10/8

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