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NO MORE "why is my play a blunder"

Posted By: HOMINID
Date: Thursday, 29 January 2015, at 11:58 a.m.





White is Professional

score: 3
pip: 91
7 point match
pip: 115
score: 5

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--aBCCB-B---A---cb-b-Bbbc-:0:0:1:11:5:3:0:7:10
Blue to play 11

1.xg7-ply8/7(2) 4/2* eq: +0.656
Player:
Opponent:		75.22% (G:19.08% B:0.62%)
24.78% (G:6.67% B:0.07%)
2.7-ply8/7(2) 3/2*(2) eq: +0.606 (-0.050)
Player:
Opponent:		71.61% (G:17.34% B:0.39%)
28.39% (G:4.78% B:0.08%)
3.played7-ply21/20(2) 4/2* eq: +0.490 (-0.167)
Player:
Opponent:		68.87% (G:15.07% B:0.37%)
31.13% (G:7.42% B:0.08%)
4.3-ply21/20(2) 8/7(2)eq: +0.455 (-0.201)
Player:
Opponent:		66.61% (G:11.47% B:0.23%)
33.39% (G:3.80% B:0.03%)
5.3-ply12/10 4/2* eq: +0.432 (-0.225)
Player:
Opponent:		67.71% (G:15.32% B:0.33%)
32.29% (G:7.67% B:0.09%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

http://www.bgonline.org/forums/webbbs_config.pl?read=172800

8/7(2) 4/2* 62 32 11 21 22 42 52 (12 rolls 33%)

2 escaping rolls 5%

8/7(2) 3/2*(2) 53 63 33 31 21 41 (11 rolls 31%)

4 escaping rolls 11%

21/20(2) 4/2* 52 32 22 21 11 62 42 61 31 51 41 (20 rolls 56%)

4 escaping rolls 11%

The above are the good rolls produced for white by the respective plays. By applying the rolls to the positions they emphasize the hit is essential , blue cannot afford to let white escape . The fact that the top play produces the opportunity to extend the prime when 8/7 (2) is played is the product of the top play and not the reason for it in my opinion. There are 12 rolls 33% for white to hit on entry with a 5% chance of escaping. If hit blue has a 57% chance of entering. Very respectful odds in blues favour .There is no need to worry about the anchor plenty of escape routes there.

To get these stats out of XG, less than 5 minutes. To get your head round what there saying takes longer. No need to shame yourself to find out why it was a checker blunder anymore. I personally think this would be a nice feature in XG but I guess I would wouldn't I lol. My suggestion did not get past Xavier's minions. Maybe they did not appreciate what I was getting at.

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