[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Example from my recent match

Posted By: niuniuch
Date: Friday, 30 January 2015, at 7:34 p.m.

In Response To: Am I the only one intersted? (Stick)





White is opp

score: 0
pip: 38
7 point match
pip: 43
score: 1

Blue is me
XGID=-BBBACB------------c-c-af-:2:1:1:00:1:0:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller++ No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 79,00% (G:0,00% B:0,00%) 79,00% (G:0,00% B:0,00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 21,00% (G:0,00% B:0,00%) 21,00% (G:0,00% B:0,00%)
Cubeless Equities +0,580 +0,811
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0,786 (-0,025)
xg Redouble/Take:+0,811
Redouble/Pass:+1,000 (+0,189)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

I was playing a significantly weaker opponent (about 6PR average) and at this point I decided that I don't want to give him an opportunity to take the cube for the match, so I'll just play it out. In this position I'm quite sure that doubling would be wrong, but some more difficult decisions followed:

2. WC: 83,42% Error: 0,110

3. WC: 82,08% Error: 0,088

4. WC: 85,20% Error: 0,147

After that I finally doubled at 97% and cashed.

The whole sequence cost me 1,44 PR.

Can anyone tell me if my decisions where correct or not, and why?

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.