OTB I sensed this was close as a desperation gammonicidal double is a rare bird when the hit isn't completely crushing. It seemed to me that hit dance was a clear pass as was hit and then having Pekto enter and open a 2nd blot. There's also chances for hits later but he might have a take after them.
Anyhow, I cubed and managed to win the game after hitting this shot.
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| XGID=---BBBBAA---------A-aBbjB-:0:0:1:00:5:7:0:9:10 | |||||
| Blue on roll, cube action? | |||||
| Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 58.018% (G:0.000% B:0.000%) | 58.566% (G:0.000% B:0.000%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 41.982% (G:31.657% B:10.013%) | 41.434% (G:32.462% B:8.402%) |
| Cubeless Equities | -0.3866 | -0.0024 |
| Cubeful Equities | ||
| No double: | -0.0453 (-0.0429) | ±0.0063 (-0.0516..-0.0390) |
| Double/Take: | -0.0024 | ±0.0065 (-0.0089..+0.0041) |
| Double/Pass: | +1.0000 (+1.0024) | |
| Best Cube action: Double / Take | ||
| Rollout details | ||
| 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller | ||
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% | |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% | |
| Duration: 19 minutes 19 seconds | ||
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2