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OLM 20150219A The Dilly Builders -- CONSULTATION

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Thursday, 19 February 2015, at 6:26 p.m.

In Response To: OLM 20150219A The Dilly Builders -- CONSULTATION (Jason Lee)

I'll still go with 20/15 since we really need to hop out now. Then I still prefer 7/4 to 5/2. Funny bad things have a way of happening when you place a dilly on your 2 pt.

7/4 is clearly best the 70% of the time they dance. I don't fear their 61 shot whatsoever. I do fear 11 but that is a 35-1 shot and we still are in control. They'll likely hit with 31 but again I don't fear that much. The real danger comes from losing as we come around with our 6 prime now gone.

But we still have a great board and a 5 prime and after 5/2 we can still sometimes be forced to crack.

20/15 7/4 plays to close them out and win our easy G.

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