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Cube action ATS?

Posted By: scotty
Date: Friday, 20 February 2015, at 11:53 p.m.

In Response To: Cube action ATS? (John O'Hagan)

well, the leader can cube when he is less than 50%. The leader has 23 winning shots on his next roll, and additional chances to win if he misses and the trailer rolls a one. Unless i am missing something here, the leader has a definite double.

Can the trailer take? The trailer gets to roll 13/36 times and has 31 winning rolls if blue misses. 13/36 x 31/36 = 403/1296 or about 30% winning chances.

take/win MWC = 30.0% (7a4a) take/lose MWC = 12.5% (8a2a) drop MWC = 19.5% (8a3a)

the trailer is risking 7% MWC to gain 10.5%. His drop point is 7.0/(17.5%) = 40%

The trailer drops.

Cube action: Double/Drop

Hope I got that right :D

Messages In This Thread

• Cube action ATS?
  John O'Hagan -- Friday, 20 February 2015, at 2:36 p.m.
  • Cube action ATS?
    neilkaz -- Friday, 20 February 2015, at 4:08 p.m.
    • skill levels
      garyo -- Friday, 20 February 2015, at 5:17 p.m.
      • skill levels
        neilkaz -- Friday, 20 February 2015, at 6:41 p.m.
      • skill levels
        ah_clem -- Friday, 20 February 2015, at 7:54 p.m.
    • Cube action ATS?
      Martin -- Saturday, 21 February 2015, at 8:22 a.m.
      • Ty that is a typo
        neilkaz -- Saturday, 21 February 2015, at 3:14 p.m.
  • Cube action ATS?
    scotty -- Friday, 20 February 2015, at 11:53 p.m.
    • oops, missed the cube on 2!
      scotty -- Saturday, 21 February 2015, at 12:00 a.m.
  • RO
    John O'Hagan -- Saturday, 21 February 2015, at 3:52 p.m.