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newbee match equity question

Posted By: Maik Stiebler
Date: Wednesday, 25 February 2015, at 7:53 p.m.

In Response To: newbee match equity question (scotty)





White is Player 2

score: 3
pip: 88
11 point match
pip: 26
score: 9

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BBBa---------A-a-accbbb--:0:0:1:00:9:3:0:11:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 85,188% (G:16,865% B:0,236%) 84,732% (G:28,228% B:0,251%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 14,812% (G:0,000% B:0,000%) 15,268% (G:0,000% B:0,000%)
Cubeless Equities +0,9560 +1,8171
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0,9504 (-0,0496)±0,0042 (+0,9462..+0,9546)
Double/Take:+1,3749 (+0,3749)±0,0060 (+1,3688..+1,3809)
Double/Pass:+1,0000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 92510994
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100,0%
Take Decision confidence:100,0%
Duration: 15,4 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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