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3a6a cube decision --- variant 4

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Wednesday, 4 March 2015, at 2:03 a.m.

In Response To: 3a6a cube decision --- variant 3 (Chuck Bower)





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 97
7 point match
pip: 41
score: 4

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-bHCD-------------abbbbbb-:1:1:1:00:4:1:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 84.849% (G:15.867% B:1.327%) 84.342% (G:23.466% B:3.557%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 15.151% (G:0.000% B:0.000%) 15.658% (G:0.000% B:0.000%)
Cubeless Equities +0.8102 +1.1192
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.8563±0.0033 (+0.8531..+0.8596)
Redouble/Take:+0.7221 (-0.1343)±0.0052 (+0.7169..+0.7273)
Redouble/Pass:+1.0000 (+0.1437)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 32.6%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 75494493
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 8 minutes 58 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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