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More Wins, More Gammons, Lower MWC?

Posted By: niuniuch
Date: Wednesday, 11 March 2015, at 9:45 p.m.

In Response To: More Wins, More Gammons, Lower MWC? (channingW)

It can happen. Remember that the percentages are cubeless, so if you have access to the cube a position with lesser cubeless chances but also lower volatility can have higher MWC.

Compare to the position where the opp is holding the cube, you move is now the best:





White is Player 2

score: 2
pip: 115
7 point match
pip: 101
score: 2

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-CCaCCB-----a--bbbb-b-bA:1:-1:1:22:2:2:0:7:10
Blue to play 22

1.XG Roller++Bar/21 7/5*(2) eq: +0,631
Player:
Opponent:		68,87% (G:37,05% B:2,26%)
31,13% (G:8,88% B:0,28%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/23 7/5*(2) 3/1* eq: +0,602 (-0,029)
Player:
Opponent:		66,98% (G:38,57% B:1,25%)
33,02% (G:8,84% B:0,41%)
3.4-plyBar/23 7/5*(3) eq: +0,511 (-0,120)
Player:
Opponent:		67,51% (G:28,06% B:0,96%)
32,49% (G:4,54% B:0,24%)
4.3-plyBar/21 7/5* 5/3eq: +0,389 (-0,242)
Player:
Opponent:		65,93% (G:21,35% B:1,23%)
34,07% (G:5,23% B:0,09%)
5.2-plyBar/23 8/6 7/5*(2) eq: +0,265 (-0,366)
Player:
Opponent:		60,41% (G:26,62% B:1,20%)
39,59% (G:9,91% B:0,58%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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