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Need a reference RO

Posted By: gudgen
Date: Friday, 20 March 2015, at 5:36 p.m.

In Response To: Need a reference (gudgen)

OK, anticlimax, disaster...next. I passed after counting 28-30 numbers forming 5 or broken 5 prime. I disregarded my counter play for the 5 pt. opponent's anchor. Always remember Phil Simborg's definition of a backgammon player: a masochist! Give it to me! But.. the reference positions Igor shows in his last post are different: winning percentages VERY different..So- a 3 pt. holding game is not ANY 3 pt. holding game. TYVM Igor, I'll have to dig it out starting from the ref. positions in your last post.

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 141
17 point match
pip: 146
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=----BbD-C-B-cB--ababbbB---:0:0:-1:00:0:0:0:17:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 65.94% (G:12.00% B:0.36%) 66.16% (G:11.87% B:0.39%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 34.06% (G:5.43% B:0.19%) 33.84% (G:5.45% B:0.20%)
Cubeless Equities +0.388 +0.792
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.605±0.013 (+0.592..+0.617)
Double/Take:+0.542 (-0.062)±0.015 (+0.528..+0.557)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.395)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 12.0%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 45 minutes 38 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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