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OLM 20150321A The Prime Factors

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Sunday, 22 March 2015, at 6:04 p.m.

In Response To: OLM 20150321A The Prime Factors (Jason Lee)

I count 20 rolls that do good things (make our 4-point, our 20-point, or hit) and thus 16 rolls that don't, although none of those looks that bad, just bad enough that we may wish we hadn't cubed.

Their race lead and anchor, plus the work we still need to do make this a pretty easy take, IMO. So WDR doesn't make this a double. OTOH, their three checkers on their 2-point are sticking out like a sore thumb.

How about OHR (O'Hagan's Rule)? Of our 20 good rolls do they perform poorly enough on about half of them to lose our market? Let's say 5 of our 7 hits are MMs. If we make the 2-point (let's say we do that with the remaining 10 4's) they can't do much -- call that 3 more MM's. Then 5 rolls {61, 21, 11} make our 5-point. If 1 of those 5 is an MM we'll have reached the 25% requirement for OHR.

Looks close. I probably should have brought up the score initially. That is a bit in our favor because of some hindrance on their recube. That pushes me over the fence.

Double

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