I don't have time to roll this out but both SW & GNU agree that the double hit is correct by a mile. I also played it out a few times and agree it works out better. OtB, meaning over the computer, I was a bit stumped. I didn't like any of the alternatives. I knew the score argued for the most gammonish play but could I even be sure that wasn't making the 5pt? I looked at everything from the double hit to the quiet 10/7 8/7. I settled on hitting two but not because I knew what I was doing, only because I felt the other options had to be wrong and I wasn't sure if hitting both was wrong, so that's what I did.
Leaving 4s & 5s to hit and get a 4th checker (possibly a 5th) sent back when I don't have that many natural spares to play afterwards is too much. True, I don't fear the G loss, but my game is too brittle after making the 5pt. There's a lot more flex when you hit two, and it works out esp. well on any 6X aside from 62.
The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 1, user 0 (match to 2 points, Crawford game)
| gnubg | 155 |
|---|---|
| |
| user | 165 |
Position ID: sPPIARTg68QAJg Match ID: 8IlMABAAAAAA | |
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | 1 | 2 | 6/3*/2* | +0.0817 |
| 0.4100 0.1308 0.0043 - 0.5900 0.2136 0.0153 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | 8/7 6/3* | +0.0284 ( -0.0533) | |
| 0.4065 0.1077 0.0032 - 0.5935 0.2109 0.0130 | ||||
| 3 | 2 | 13/10 8/7 | +0.0250 ( -0.0567) | |
| 0.4019 0.1107 0.0035 - 0.5981 0.1833 0.0082 | ||||
| 4 | 2 | 8/5 6/5 | +0.0193 ( -0.0625) | |
| 0.3977 0.1119 0.0034 - 0.6023 0.2246 0.0158 | ||||