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BGonline.org Forums
Pay now or later?
Posted By: Karol Szczerek In Response To: Pay now or later? (Sean Garber)
Date: Sunday, 12 April 2015, at 8:50 a.m.
No way we have a double after the miss. We still have midpoint blocked 6-away AND we have a big problem with the blot on 16pt. Only 20 rolls get it to safety next turn! Even if he misses and we run, I doubt we have a double yet.
Also opp can't double yet I think. But he's probably close. Maybe a technical double vs. human.
Actually I think, that because of the 16-pt. blot problem the safe play could be closer than I originally thought. I still go with the 16/5, as it looks intuitive and I hate stripped positions with forced exposures, but both plays are probably pretty close.
I guess the cube action on few following turns matter. That's out of my reach. I'll wait for Giants analysis.
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