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OFF TOPIC -- A question of logic

Posted By: joe freedman
Date: Saturday, 2 May 2015, at 5:36 p.m.

In Response To: OFF TOPIC -- A question of logic (Bob Koca)

Seems to me as a non-mathemtician: If 1000 cars rolled by that were either green or blue, 1000 coin flips would say that 500 were blue (+/- some statistical variation). So, if 850 were actually blue, you would be wrong in at least 350 cases, since you identified 500 green cars and there were only 150. But actually your error rate was worse than that, since, in addition to incorrectly identifying 350 cars as green, you would also have incorrectly identified some of the green ones as blue.

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