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OFF TOPIC -- A question of logic

Posted By: joe freedman
Date: Saturday, 2 May 2015, at 6:21 p.m.

In Response To: OFF TOPIC -- A question of logic (Bob Koca)

If you're asking whether choosing a color would be accurate based on a coin flip 50% of the time, then I would say no. Not if the colors are not distributed 50-50. The breakdown of cars is relevant, not just in the coin flip situation (which seems obvious) but also in the 80% witness situation (which does not seem so obvious). If you knew that the cars were 85% green and 15% blue, you would be better off (if blindfolded) simply choosing green, as you'd be right 85% of the time.

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