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Real "Wachtel" position - ++/++ Large RO

Posted By: Stick
Date: Wednesday, 6 May 2015, at 10:16 p.m.

In Response To: Real "Wachtel" position (Mochy)

While still containing a lot of variance the final result still seems clear to the bot. No double and take. If I have time in the near future this will be one to play out and see if there are any disagreeable moments between myself and XG's analysis.





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 28
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 144
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=bAAA-----a------bbbbbbA---:1:-1:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 70.72% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 71.76% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 29.28% (G:4.17% B:1.24%) 28.24% (G:4.19% B:1.13%)
Cubeless Equities +0.360 +0.764
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.747±0.038 (+0.709..+0.786)
Redouble/Take:+0.573 (-0.174)±0.063 (+0.510..+0.636)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.253)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 29.0%
Rollout details
216 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 6499682
Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller+
Search interval: Large
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 5 hours 32 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.206.pre-release

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