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Rollout (nobody got the bot play)

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Sunday, 24 May 2015, at 6:03 p.m.

In Response To: Hey, I thought doublets were supposed to be lucky! (Timothy Chow)

I made the 5pt and looked around for the fourth 3, but by then I had already erred according to the bot. The bot's preferred play still looks weird to me. Any suggested post-hoc justifications?





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 139
Unlimited Game
pip: 169
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--a---EaD--BAaa--cce----BA:0:0:1:33:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 33

1.Rollout1Bar/22 8/5 6/3(2)eq: -0.420
Player:
Opponent:
40.75% (G:12.03% B:0.66%)
59.25% (G:21.48% B:2.37%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.428...-0.412) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 35 minutes
2.Rollout1Bar/22 24/21 6/3(2)eq: -0.445 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:
39.63% (G:11.11% B:0.72%)
60.37% (G:22.08% B:1.98%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.453...-0.438) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 34 minutes
3.Rollout1Bar/22 24/21(2) 8/5eq: -0.447 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:
39.76% (G:8.77% B:0.36%)
60.24% (G:18.11% B:0.76%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.455...-0.440) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 49 minutes
4.Rollout1Bar/22 24/21(2) 6/3eq: -0.457 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:
40.09% (G:9.18% B:0.42%)
59.91% (G:20.28% B:0.81%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.465...-0.449) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 50 minutes
5.Rollout1Bar/22 24/21 8/5(2)eq: -0.458 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:
38.82% (G:10.62% B:0.61%)
61.18% (G:20.04% B:1.73%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.465...-0.451) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 30 minutes
6.Rollout1Bar/22 24/21(2) 12/9eq: -0.467 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:
38.24% (G:8.27% B:0.38%)
61.76% (G:15.20% B:0.63%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.474...-0.459) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 45 minutes
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release

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