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OTB & RO

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Thursday, 25 June 2015, at 3:24 p.m.

In Response To: 21 for White at GG (John O'Hagan)

XG found 13/11 5/4 OTB and the RO sez it's TCTC between that or 13/10. 6/4 21/20 wins more but wins fewer gammons that either of the top two plays. It's a weaker play at GG however because the ratio of extra gammons/extra losses after either of the top two plays is > 1.0 which is all you need at GG.

is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 89
2 point match
Crawford
pip: 129
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=--BBABC-----cB----bdBAbbb-:0:0:1:21:0:1:1:2:10
to play 21

1.Rollout113/11 5/4eq: -0.358
Player:
Opponent:		27.58% (G:4.52% B:0.25%)
72.42% (G:28.57% B:0.24%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.362...-0.354) - [77.3%]
Duration: 9 minutes 22 seconds
2.Rollout113/10eq: -0.360 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		27.70% (G:4.30% B:0.25%)
72.30% (G:27.70% B:0.18%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.363...-0.357) - [22.7%]
Duration: 8 minutes 28 seconds
3.Rollout121/20 6/4eq: -0.370 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		27.93% (G:3.57% B:0.24%)
72.07% (G:11.06% B:0.03%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.373...-0.367) - [0.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 17 seconds
4.Rollout26/4 2/1eq: -0.384 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent:		26.72% (G:4.08% B:0.21%)
73.28% (G:27.80% B:0.23%)		Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.389...-0.379) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 36 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00, MET: Kazaross XG2

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