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OTB & RO

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Friday, 26 June 2015, at 11:06 p.m.

In Response To: 31P-65R-42P-21D-42 (John O'Hagan)

I missed this one by choosing S (24/20 13/11). D (13/9 13/11) is best. If one of your outfield blots is hit you get 9,17, or 21 return hits. If Black can't hit, you'll have 16 ways to make the important 7-point. The overall winning chances are close between all plays as are the gammon-losing chances. What makes D best is that it wins the most gammons.

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 153
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 157
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-a--BBC-A---eE-a-c-e----B-:0:0:1:42:0:0:3:0:10
to play 42

1.Rollout113/11 13/9eq: +0.269
Player:
Opponent:		55.40% (G:20.19% B:0.70%)
44.60% (G:11.12% B:0.70%)		Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.259...+0.280) - [99.9%]
Duration: 38 minutes 39 seconds
2.Rollout124/22 13/9eq: +0.247 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		55.22% (G:18.41% B:0.62%)
44.78% (G:10.82% B:0.52%)		Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.238...+0.256) - [0.1%]
Duration: 38 minutes 58 seconds
3.Rollout124/20 13/11eq: +0.232 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:		54.95% (G:17.66% B:0.55%)
45.05% (G:10.90% B:0.55%)		Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.223...+0.242) - [0.0%]
Duration: 41 minutes 09 seconds
4.Rollout124/18eq: +0.217 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:		54.62% (G:16.18% B:0.52%)
45.38% (G:10.61% B:0.44%)		Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.206...+0.227) - [0.0%]
Duration: 38 minutes 43 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00

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