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Here is a correct equity swing table

Posted By: Mochy
Date: Monday, 29 June 2015, at 3:19 a.m.

In Response To: When to break anchor? (Mochy)

Below is the table of the equity swing I draw from XG 5ply. Number is written from the safe play's point of view. I converted cubeful equity into pure winning chance. So it is a bit different from actual winning % but very close anyway.

Group a) "Point on" 5 numbers: 21 11 22 44: 32.9% (I said 40%)
Group b) "Pick pass" 8 numbers: 31 32 41 42: 14.2%
Group c) "Loos hit" 10 numbers: 62 61 52 51 53: 3.8%
Group d) "Nothing" 13 nubmers: Others: -11.2% (I said 20%)

So I was off in the estimation but the result wouldn't change because the equity difference is so huge. Also I was right in the direction of the estimation. I know group a) b) c) are good for the stay and d) for the run. I know a) is bigger than d). I know a)>b)>c)

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